Obama Administration Banking on Moussavi

The Obama administration is banking on a so-called moderate Islamist, Mir-Hossein Moussavi, to win Iran’s Presidential election this June. Administration officials are poised to accelerate “engagement” of Iran if the 69-year-old architect emerges as the victor.

The rival to Iran’s Holocaust-denying President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is committed to continuing the country’s supposedly peaceful nuclear power program. But Moussavi has offered “guarantees” that Iran’s nuclear enrichment effort will not be used to make bombs and warheads. That tantalizing offer, coupled with his criticism of “extremism,” has made Moussavi a left/liberal darling.

A Moussavi victory is likely to strengthen U.S. President Barack Obama’s argument for “tough” direct diplomacy with Iran and make it even more difficult, politically, for Israel to attack Iran’s suspect nuclear sites and menacing missile installations. The United States has warned Israel against military action; and, as China Confidential has reported, the Obama administration is considering ways of punishing Jerusalem if it disobeys the U.S. There could be condemnations and sanctions.

A Moussavi win would also spur left/liberal acceptance of the oxymoronic notion of moderate, or moderating, or reformist or reforming Islamism–choose your poison. Islamist sympathizers and appeasers in the U.S. and Europe are poised to point to Iran as an example of so-called Islamist democracy–a concept akin to Nazi or Communist democracy. In reality, Iran’s political system is a unique, Shiite Muslim cross between theocracy and clerical fascism. The Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, rules; barbaric Islamic law (Sharia) is the law of the land; there are prescribed limits to freedom of expression and freedom to organize for political purposes; and a Council of Guardians decides who can run for office.

Appeasing Iran, Abandoning Israel

No matter. The Obama administration aims to appease Iran–and abandon Israel. The White House regards Iran as the key (a) to pacifying Afghanistan–about to be overrun by the Taliban–and (b) to countering nuclear-armed Pakistan, which is close to collapse. Israel is the odd man out–increasingly seen by the administration as more of a liability or a burden than a strategic ally. Iran is in. In a matter of months, at the rate things are going in Washington, Iran could even be considered cool; Israel, hopelessly hot.

In any case, prolonged nuclear negotiations between Washington and Tehran are in the cards regardless of who wins the Islamist presidential election. Iran is a master of dragged-out diplomacy; only its partner in nuclear/missile crime, Stalinist/Kimist North Korea, plays the talking/stalling game better than Iran.

In the meantime, the monstrous mullahocracy will make major advances in developing atomic arms and intercontinental ballistic missiles–with North Korean help and Chinese complicity.

The beat goes on. The countdown to conflict has begun. Rather than preventing war, appeasement of Iran will make war inevitable–on iranian terms.

INTELLIGENCE UPDATE: Iranian nuclear experts will travel to North Korea in connection with a new nuclear weapon test, according to China Confidential analysts. China Confidential broke the story of an Iranian delegation visiting North Korea to observe the long-range rocket test earlier this month.

Detonation of a North Korean nuclear device, which could occur this July, will divert attention from Iran and could make any proposed “package” of assurances from the Islamist nation seem acceptable.

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Washington Divided Over Chinese Muslim Issue

China Confidential has learned that the Obama administration is deeply divided over the issue of Muslim separatism in Xinjiang.

The President, Washington insiders say, would like to issue a statement in support of the Muslim minority Uighurs. Obama is said to believe that Beijing is using Islamist terrorism as an excuse to persecute restive Muslims.

But U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is said to be urging caution. Clinton is concerned that Uighur groups have ties to Al Qaeda-associated Islamist groups, sources say.

Other administration officials, including Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, are also said to be advising against speaking out on behalf of the Uighurs because of U.S. financial dependence on China.

Geithner is also said to be opposed to criticizing China’s treatment of Tibet, opaque military buildup, failure to stop North Korea from testing a ballistic missile, and support for nuclear-arming Iran.

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US Navy Frees Captain, Kills Pirates

Great news.

A U.S. Navy operation rescued the merchant marine captain and restored America’s honor.

Three pirates were said to have been killed in the operation to free Captain Richard Phillips, who had been held in a lifeboat since last Thursday.

This reporter is relieved–overjoyed–to have been proven wrong. The United States used force instead of allowing the lifeboat to drift to shore, as he had expected.

But, happy as this reporter is that the administration appears to have redeemed itself on Easter, which is associated with the theme of personal redemption, China Confidential stands by its overall forecast: Washington will not attack the pirates’ land bases and the Islamist terrorist training camps of Al Shabab, which profits from the piracy and protects the villains. Nor will the administration authorize a naval blockade of the pirates’ ports and hot pursuit of the pirates on land.

The administration is bent on appeasing radical Islam, including Islamist Iran and its proxies, Hamas and Hezbollah, under cover of “aggressive diplomacy” toward the clerical fascist foe and engagement of its supposed “moderate” factions.

Islamist terrorism and Islamist-linked piracy will continue and, except for some isolated incidents, such as today’s successful action, will largely go unpunished.

On that score, one wonders if the Navy would have acted has the administration not been taken by surprise by the outpouring of anger and frustration by concerned citizens.

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US Backing Down on North Korea

As China Confidential predicted, the United States is disappointing Japan and South Korea in an attempt to to appease nuclear-armed North Korea. Click here for the story.

The Obama administration is hoping that the Hitlerian regime will release two U.S. hostages.

The administration’s message to Israel and other U.S. allies: don’t count on us. Washington will always let you down.

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